← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajaccio GFCO win | 46% | 37% | 2.11 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 33% | 3.09 | fair |
| Sochaux win | 23% | 31% | 4.29 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio GFCO | Sochaux |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 563.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1492.37 | 1545.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.02 | 8.44 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| league points | 53.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.58 |
| state index | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |