← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 35% | 37% | 2.76 | fair |
| Ajaccio win | 33% | 29% | 2.98 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 34% | 3.05 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ajaccio | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 160.00 | 1013.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1420.88 | 1520.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -37.39 | 13.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| league points | 31.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.63 |
| state index | -1.21 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |