← Ligue 2 2014-15 · Fri, Apr 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 39% | 31% | 2.53 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | 3.03 | fair |
| Angers SCO win | 29% | 37% | 3.32 | value: +24% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1006.00 | 1372.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1414.67 | 1550.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.20 | 35.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 32.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 13.96 | 13.96 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.76 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.78 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |