← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tours win | 56% | 44% | 1.74 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 31% | 4.19 | value: +32% |
| Clermont win | 21% | 25% | 4.60 | value: +14% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tours | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 319.00 | 684.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1476.66 | 1428.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.38 | -40.89 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.45 |
| league points | 52.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.22 |
| state index | -0.06 | -1.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |