← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 44% | 49% | 2.20 | value: +8% |
| Chateauroux win | 29% | 19% | 3.40 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 32% | 3.54 | value: +12% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 351.00 | 227.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1512.43 | 1413.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.05 | -24.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 53.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.08 |
| state index | 0.36 | -1.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |