← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nancy win | 63% | 46% | 1.56 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 32% | 4.21 | value: +33% |
| Angers SCO win | 14% | 22% | 6.83 | value: +52% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nancy | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 220.00 | 1043.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1552.43 | 1480.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.69 | -11.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.25 |
| league points | 57.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.44 |
| state index | 0.38 | -0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |