← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 62% | 47% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 32% | 4.32 | value: +39% |
| Le Havre AC win | 15% | 21% | 6.39 | value: +33% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 677.00 | 1408.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1567.16 | 1480.14 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.65 | -28.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| league points | 72.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |