← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, May 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 66% | 41% | 1.48 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 34% | 4.26 | value: +47% |
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 11% | 24% | 8.86 | value: +113% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Racing Club de Lens | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 342.00 | 344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1535.18 | 1499.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.57 | 25.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.81 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 62.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.39 |
| state index | 0.53 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |