← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Tue, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 54% | 56% | 1.79 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 3.83 | fair |
| Chateauroux win | 20% | 18% | 4.86 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 674.00 | 217.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1504.77 | 1436.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.75 | -15.83 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 50.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| state index | 0.05 | -0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |