← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Sat, May 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 61% | 43% | 1.61 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 30% | 4.38 | value: +32% |
| Angers SCO win | 17% | 26% | 5.76 | value: +52% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Racing Club de Lens | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 336.00 | 1037.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1521.73 | 1491.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.10 | -18.86 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 58.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.57 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |