← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niort win | 55% | 53% | 1.78 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | 3.87 | value: +10% |
| AJ Auxerre win | 20% | 19% | 4.84 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 517.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1504.27 | 1408.52 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.82 | -32.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.05 |
| league points | 53.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.06 |
| state index | 0.00 | -1.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |