← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 52% | 41% | 1.86 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 34% | 3.64 | value: +26% |
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 21% | 25% | 4.71 | value: +18% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Stade Brestois 29 |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1401.00 | 337.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1437.83 | 1509.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -28.90 | 55.88 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 35.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.44 |
| state index | -0.69 | 0.77 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |