← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 41% | 39% | 2.39 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 34% | 3.25 | value: +9% |
| Dijon win | 29% | 27% | 3.34 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 670.00 | 670.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1456.93 | 1494.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.17 | -8.14 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 44.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.38 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |