← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Brestois 29 win | 46% | 40% | 2.12 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 39% | 3.26 | value: +26% |
| Clermont win | 24% | 21% | 4.02 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Stade Brestois 29 | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 330.00 | 663.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1498.50 | 1468.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 38.26 | 29.46 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.45 |
| league points | 46.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.59 | 0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |