← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, Apr 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Auxerre win | 47% | 40% | 2.09 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 33% | 3.20 | value: +7% |
| Clermont win | 23% | 26% | 4.27 | value: +13% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 496.00 | 649.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1445.06 | 1451.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.63 | 23.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| league points | 36.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 1.29 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |