← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tours win | 53% | 53% | 1.85 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | 3.40 | fair |
| AJ Auxerre win | 19% | 21% | 5.27 | value: +10% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tours | AJ Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 277.00 | 489.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1475.18 | 1442.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.48 | 4.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.15 |
| league points | 45.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |