← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 43% | 46% | 2.29 | value: +4% |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.23 | fair |
| Nancy win | 27% | 25% | 3.61 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1373.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1453.09 | 1525.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.19 | -17.42 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 31.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.47 |
| state index | -0.24 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |