← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 51% | 47% | 1.90 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | 3.27 | fair |
| Chateauroux win | 19% | 22% | 5.20 | value: +16% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 642.00 | 185.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1453.39 | 1451.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.57 | 9.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| league points | 39.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| state index | -0.05 | -0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |