← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Mon, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Racing Club de Lens win | 58% | 44% | 1.67 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 33% | 3.72 | value: +21% |
| Clermont win | 15% | 23% | 6.37 | value: +46% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Racing Club de Lens | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 303.00 | 638.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1521.82 | 1449.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.65 | 9.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 52.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.96 | 9.96 |
| season ppg | 1.79 | 1.31 |
| state index | 0.46 | -0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |