← Ligue 2 2013-14 · Fri, Mar 21, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niort win | 51% | 42% | 1.93 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 32% | 3.30 | value: +5% |
| Angers SCO win | 20% | 26% | 4.96 | value: +30% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Niort | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 994.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1504.39 | 1519.06 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.77 | -24.21 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.64 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |