← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Fri, May 24, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Monaco FC win | 46% | 39% | 2.13 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 31% | 3.45 | value: +6% |
| Tours win | 26% | 30% | 3.79 | value: +14% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tours | AS Monaco FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 296.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1468.48 | 1606.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.78 | 3.55 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 49.00 | 73.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.97 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |