← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Fri, May 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 42% | 53% | 2.31 | value: +22% |
| Laval win | 30% | 19% | 3.25 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.49 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1051.00 | 1051.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1518.73 | 1383.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.43 | -41.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| league points | 58.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.00 |
| state index | 0.68 | -1.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |