← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Fri, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 66% | 57% | 1.47 | fair |
| Draw | 22% | 27% | 4.54 | value: +22% |
| Ajaccio GFCO win | 12% | 16% | 8.07 | value: +28% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Ajaccio GFCO |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1044.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1396.66 | 1360.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.83 | -17.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| league points | 36.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.71 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.95 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |