← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Fri, May 10, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers SCO win | 38% | 32% | 2.57 | fair |
| AJ Auxerre win | 32% | 38% | 3.06 | value: +18% |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.27 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AJ Auxerre | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 160.00 | 679.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1499.84 | 1536.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.15 | -3.61 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| league points | 47.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.34 | 1.69 |
| state index | -0.10 | 0.08 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |