← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Mon, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Monaco FC win | 49% | 34% | 1.99 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | 3.62 | value: +9% |
| Sedan win | 24% | 35% | 4.05 | value: +44% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sedan | AS Monaco FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1428.81 | 1610.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.77 | 13.03 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| league points | 29.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 2.00 |
| state index | 0.01 | 0.82 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |