← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Fri, Apr 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 58% | 56% | 1.67 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 29% | 3.80 | value: +9% |
| Ajaccio GFCO win | 16% | 15% | 6.10 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Ajaccio GFCO |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 299.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1432.35 | 1357.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.08 | -28.26 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| league points | 35.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 0.67 |
| state index | -0.49 | -1.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |