← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Fri, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 41% | 42% | 2.37 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 32% | 3.09 | fair |
| Le Havre AC win | 27% | 26% | 3.56 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 285.00 | 1016.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1440.99 | 1484.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.46 | 13.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 34.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.52 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.02 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |