← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp win | 55% | 52% | 1.76 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 3.53 | fair |
| Clermont win | 17% | 19% | 5.72 | value: +11% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Guingamp | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1010.00 | 279.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| elo | 1549.79 | 1436.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.30 | -8.38 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 54.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.96 | 7.96 |
| season ppg | 1.80 | 1.10 |
| state index | 0.66 | -0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |