← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Fri, Mar 29, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laval win | 44% | 46% | 2.24 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.23 | fair |
| Le Mans FC win | 26% | 24% | 3.72 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Laval | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1002.00 | 1367.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1416.77 | 1396.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 25.91 | -26.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 31.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.03 |
| state index | 0.04 | -0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |