← Ligue 2 2012-13 · Fri, Mar 15, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Monaco FC win | 59% | 48% | 1.63 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 30% | 3.82 | value: +15% |
| Angers SCO win | 16% | 22% | 5.96 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AS Monaco FC | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 623.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1597.93 | 1527.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.82 | 14.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| league points | 57.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.04 | 1.68 |
| state index | 0.70 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |