← Ligue 2 2011-12 · Fri, May 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 54% | 52% | 1.73 | fair |
| Draw | 25% | 27% | 3.75 | fair |
| Laval win | 21% | 21% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Laval |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 687.00 | 687.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1481.56 | 1423.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.49 | -6.53 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 55.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.49 | 1.27 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.69 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |