← Ligue 2 2011-12 · Fri, Mar 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 47% | 47% | 2.00 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | 3.10 | fair |
| Le Havre AC win | 22% | 23% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Le Havre AC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 638.00 | 638.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1495.48 | 1431.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.84 | -18.67 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 45.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.24 |
| state index | -0.60 | -0.96 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |