← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, May 27, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istres win | 44% | 44% | 2.10 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 31% | 3.25 | fair |
| Chateauroux win | 27% | 25% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Istres | Chateauroux |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 330.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1416.86 | 1420.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -43.25 | 0.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| league points | 46.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.27 |
| state index | -1.11 | -0.52 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |