← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grenoble win | 39% | 34% | 2.38 | fair |
| Clermont win | 31% | 35% | 3.00 | value: +6% |
| Draw | 30% | 31% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Grenoble | Clermont |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1419.00 | 323.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1389.48 | 1478.72 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.08 | -14.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.40 |
| league points | 32.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.89 | 1.33 |
| state index | -0.92 | -0.53 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |