← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Mon, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon win | 64% | 62% | 1.44 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 4.00 | fair |
| Grenoble win | 12% | 14% | 8.00 | value: +12% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dijon | Grenoble |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.30 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3241.00 | 1415.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1544.62 | 1394.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.47 | -2.73 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.45 |
| league points | 58.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 0.91 |
| state index | 0.59 | -0.79 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |