← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, May 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 52% | 41% | 1.80 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 32% | 3.40 | value: +10% |
| Tours win | 19% | 27% | 5.00 | value: +34% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Tours |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 316.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1402.56 | 1395.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.72 | -45.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 37.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.29 |
| state index | -0.63 | -1.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |