← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 47% | 52% | 2.00 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 29% | 31% | 3.20 | fair |
| ES Troyes AC win | 24% | 17% | 4.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | ES Troyes AC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 309.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1463.63 | 1382.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.45 | -49.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 46.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| state index | -0.67 | -1.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |