← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nimes win | 39% | 40% | 2.50 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 37% | 3.00 | value: +11% |
| Nantes win | 29% | 23% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nimes | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 295.00 | 507.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1403.01 | 1409.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.13 | 1.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 32.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.19 |
| state index | -0.55 | -0.72 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |