← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre AC win | 40% | 43% | 2.35 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | 3.00 | fair |
| Evian Thonon Gaillard win | 29% | 27% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Le Havre AC | Evian Thonon Gaillard |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 295.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1472.82 | 1529.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.72 | 14.45 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 45.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.68 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |