← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Istres win | 43% | 44% | 2.20 | fair |
| Draw | 32% | 33% | 3.00 | fair |
| ES Troyes AC win | 25% | 23% | 3.75 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Istres | ES Troyes AC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1449.27 | 1410.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.04 | -17.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| league points | 42.00 | 40.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.35 | 1.29 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.96 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |