← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes win | 41% | 40% | 2.25 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 32% | 3.00 | fair |
| Dijon win | 28% | 28% | 3.40 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nantes | Dijon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 500.00 | 3210.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1407.76 | 1522.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.81 | 22.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 36.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.57 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.51 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |