← Ligue 2 2010-11 · Fri, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clermont win | 42% | 41% | 2.25 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 3.10 | fair |
| Le Mans FC win | 28% | 28% | 3.30 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Clermont | Le Mans FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 260.00 | 625.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1497.88 | 1495.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.14 | -18.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 37.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.37 | 1.59 |
| state index | 0.22 | -0.54 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |