← Ligue 2 2009-10 · Fri, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Nantes win | 29% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nantes | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 164.00 | 317.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1414.50 | 1548.95 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -24.05 | -48.32 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 45.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.78 |
| state index | -0.69 | -0.70 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |