← Ligue 2 2009-10 · Fri, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Arles win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | Arles |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1490.78 | 1492.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.86 | 33.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| league points | 49.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| state index | -0.66 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |