← Ligue 2 2008-09 · Fri, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Metz win | 55% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| ES Troyes AC win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Metz | ES Troyes AC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1509.43 | 1413.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.64 | -14.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| league points | 59.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| state index | -0.39 | -0.65 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |