← Ligue 2 2006-07 · Fri, May 18, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Gueugnon win | 51% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.10 |
| Bastia win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Gueugnon | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 686.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1415.38 | 1473.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.25 | -16.93 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| league points | 42.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.39 |
| state index | -1.08 | -0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |