← Ligue 2 2006-07 · Fri, Mar 9, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Caen win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Guingamp win | 15% | 6.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Caen | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1614.15 | 1451.42 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.86 | 22.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.05 |
| league points | 54.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.04 |
| state index | 0.46 | 0.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |