← Ligue 2 2003-04 · Sat, Mar 27, 03:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valence win | 43% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.63 |
| Besancon win | 23% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valence | Besancon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1415.05 | 1435.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.27 | 14.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| league points | 29.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 10.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 0.93 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |