← Ligue 2 2002-03 · Fri, May 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Valence win | 37% | 2.40 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.70 |
| Caen win | 30% | 3.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Valence | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1458.66 | 1511.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.95 | 21.54 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| league points | 45.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.38 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |