← 2. Bundesliga 2018 · Sun, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Duisburg win | 36% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.87 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 21 | Shots | 22 |
| 9 | On target | 8 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Duisburg | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| coach days | — | 4271.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.53 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1411.72 | 1523.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.19 | 4.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| league points | 28.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 0.02 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.62 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.00 | 17.40 |
| squad age | — | 26.47 |
| state index | -0.25 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |